Xbox One Could Outship PS4 3-1 At Launch
Microsoft may have gotten off to about as bad a start as possible with a reveal event that was vilified and console DRM policies that instantly made them hated but according to an investors note from Baird analyst Colin Sebastian, the Xbox One will far outship Sony’s PS4 at launch later this year.
“Despite losing the headline battle at E3, Microsoft’s Xbox One appears to be regaining some momentum, in part due to the used and online policy tweaks. Importantly, our supply chain checks suggest Microsoft may have the benefit of a 2-3x unit advantage at launch compared to Sony’s PS4.”
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It’s practically obvious but Sebastian expects both consoles to run in short supply at launch. He also stated that the $100 price difference that many gamers have stated as a reason for going with the PS4 won’t matter at launch. Even so, Microsoft is “working with channel partners to lessen the gap,” Sebastian noted.
As for the Wii U, Sebastian said Nintendo’s console continues to struggle. He said it needs a price cut, adding that “the fate of the platform will likely rest on the popularity of Nintendo’s holiday software lineup.”
A 300% leg up on the PS4 at launch seems a bit steep although the Xbox One does seem to have overtaken PS4 in pre-orders. Maybe Microsoft deserves some good fortune after the rocky start that its console had.
This will mark the first time that Sony and Microsoft release their consoles at the same time so it will be interesting to see how that plays out. Personally, I see it being relatively even given how level the next-gen console war seems at present. Microsoft did themselves no favours with all the bad PR but Xbox fans seemed quick to go back to their preferred console once Microsoft reversed its policies.